Economic indicators

The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index turned positive in February for the first time since February 2022. That's a sign that the economy will avoid a recession this year, even if it slows down.

Some question the predictive powers of the The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, a past predictor of recessions.

The level of corporate earnings manipulation is similar to that of other pre-recessionary periods, according to the M-Score.

The manufacturing sector is shrinking, according to a report. But that doesn’t account for people’s spending or the tight labor market.

Movements in money supply matter, but not as much as they used to.

A beer industry group's data shows a steep decline for the craft segment in February as consumers spent more consciously.

An explanation of the CRB raw industrials spot price index, a “predictor” of macroeconomic trends.

Response rates to The Bureau of Labor Statistics' JOLTS report are continuing to waver according to Bloomberg reporter, Reade Pickert.

The pandemic helped boost toy sales by more than 30%.

The Conference Board's closely-watched index has fallen consistently since February 2022, indicating higher risk of recession.