What the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure can tell us

Jan 25, 2023
The personal consumption expenditures price index, better known as the PCE, tracks what we paid for goods and services in the previous month.
The PCE give less weight to consumer staples like gasoline than the consumer price index does.
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What if we told you inflation was back to its target rate?

Jan 17, 2023
When we focus on recent months rather than year-on-year increases, inflation numbers look pretty good, says economist Alan Blinder.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, above, isn't ready to declare victory over inflation yet, says economist Alan Blinder.
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How long does it take for Fed rate hikes to work?

Oct 28, 2022
Though the Federal Reserve's actions are being felt throughout the economy, stabilizing prices could take 12 to 18 months.
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What do different measures of inflation tell us?

Jun 30, 2022
The PCE and CPI measure different things, but the message they send to consumers may influence expectations — that then can affect inflation.
One thing that can really mess with what inflation is doing? What consumers think inflation will do.
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When it comes to inflation measures, the Federal Reserve prefers the PCE

Apr 29, 2022
For monetary officials, the personal consumption expenditures gauge beats the CPI. A trip to the grocery store helps explain why.
When pressed about fighting inflation, survey participants say they want to hold the line on prices for essentials, says Eric Plutzer of the McCourtney Institute for Democracy. But "those policies require the Congress and the president to work together."
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Can the Fed lower inflation without getting the economy into a recession?

"A look at the record shows that the Fed often stumbles in its efforts to save the day," says Ben White, chief economic correspondent at Politico.
Recessions have followed many of the Federal Reserve's past interest rate hikes.
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Consumer prices are growing faster than they have in 30 years

Nov 24, 2021
The Fed's preferred means of measuring inflation jumped 0.6% in October.
Food prices have jumped 4.8% since last year.
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What is the PCE price index?

May 27, 2021
The personal consumer expenditures price index is one of the Fed's favorite tools for tracking inflation.
When the price of beef rises and people switch to chicken for a few weeks? The PCE tracks that change.
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Here's how the Federal Reserve determines the inflation rate

Oct 11, 2018
The Consumer Price Index tracks the average price change over time for a “basket”  of goods and services. The CPI takes into account things like food, transportation and health care. If the CPI goes up, that’s considered an indication that the inflation rate is rising. But when the Federal Reserve calculates the inflation rate, it […]
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