recession Archives - Page 2 of 22

Leading economic indicators stubbornly point to a recession. It still hasn't arrived.

by Mitchell Hartman

Aug 17, 2023

So are the indicators wrong, or have we just not waited long enough?

“If this recession happens, it will be the most predicted recession — like, ever,” said former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm.

Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

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U.S. equity investors think stocks are too expensive, survey finds

by Mitchell Hartman

Aug 16, 2023

S&P Global’s investment manager index survey says most sectors are losing favor with investors. What's going on?

Climbing interest rates are pushing investors away from stocks and into bonds, per Gary Schlossberg with the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

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Why the Fed could eventually cut interest rates again

by Justin Ho

Aug 15, 2023

Goldman Sachs economists predict rate reductions next year based on declining inflation, which would make high rates unnecessary.

The Federal Reserve has been raising the federal funds rate to bring down inflation. If inflation declines further, high rates might be unnecessary.

Karen Bleier/AFP via Getty Images

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China's exports are falling, and that's a bad sign for the global economy

by Kristin Schwab

Aug 8, 2023

China is the world’s top exporter, and its trade data is a barometer for consumer spending around the world.

China’s exports fell 14.5% in July from a year earlier, the biggest decline since the start of the pandemic. Above, a port in China's eastern Jiangsu province.

STR/AFP via Getty Images

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Are we finally exiting the "vibecession"?

by Kai Ryssdal and Livi Burdette

Aug 2, 2023

We asked content creator and independent economics educator Kyla Scanlon if consumer sentiment is finally matching up with economic data.

"I think things are trending upward for most people," says economics educator Kyla Scanlon. "But still, it can feel like there's sometimes maybe something missing or something a little bit off."

Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

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Job data's all over the place, but things are still pretty good for some workers

by Mitchell Hartman

Jul 6, 2023

ADP and other labor market signals point to continuing interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve.

Scott Olson/Getty Imagez

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The manufacturing sector is slowing. That could be a sign of a coming recession.

by Mitchell Hartman

Jul 5, 2023

It's just over 10% of the U.S. economy but it has an outsized influence.

The Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index — a survey that measures manufacturing activity — fell again in June for an 8th straight month.

Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

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What the Fed wants to see in the next jobs report

by Elizabeth Trovall

Jul 4, 2023

To not be so stubbornly good? "We still see the labor market running very hot,” one economist says.

Fed policymakers use data from household surveys, financial markets, professional forecasters and the labor market to set interest rates, says Rice University economist Zach Bethune.

Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

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Economic indicators can't tell us the economy's whole story

by Justin Ho

Jun 23, 2023

The manufacturing sector is shrinking, according to a report. But that doesn’t account for people’s spending or the tight labor market.

"If you move beyond the vibes and look at the hard data, we’re creating jobs at a gangbusters pace, unemployment is at a 50-year low," says Justin Wolfers of the University of Michigan. "This ain’t a recession, man."

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Other countries are tipping into recession — and could drag the U.S. along

by Lily Jamali

Jun 20, 2023

Among them are New Zealand, Germany and, probably, China.

Germany is among the nations around the world facing a recession linked to their battles with inflation. Above, a Christmas market in Heidelberg.

Daniel Roland/AFP via Getty Images

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Leading economic indicators stubbornly point to a recession. It still hasn't arrived.

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U.S. equity investors think stocks are too expensive, survey finds

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Why the Fed could eventually cut interest rates again

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China's exports are falling, and that's a bad sign for the global economy

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Are we finally exiting the "vibecession"?

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Job data's all over the place, but things are still pretty good for some workers

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The manufacturing sector is slowing. That could be a sign of a coming recession.

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What the Fed wants to see in the next jobs report

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Economic indicators can't tell us the economy's whole story

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Other countries are tipping into recession — and could drag the U.S. along

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