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Treasury bond

What do these high Treasury yields mean for the economy?

by Matt Levin
Oct 3, 2023
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note reached a 16-year high Tuesday. That benchmark rate lifts interest rates on other loans.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is only part of the equation. Supply and demand for loans also influences yields.
Alex Wong/Getty Images
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An inverted yield curve usually signals recession. Is it wrong this time?

by Matt Levin
Sep 7, 2023
For well over a year, the interest paid by long-term Treasury bonds has been lower than that of shorter-term debt. But a recession hasn't happened yet.
When the yield curve inverts, it indicates that bond investors are betting on a coming recession.
Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images
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Interest rates on U.S. bonds are economic crystal balls — if you know how to read them

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Feb 22, 2023
The markets that set the yield on bonds are trying to predict the economic future.
Yields for government debt like Treasury notes are set by where the market thinks the economy is headed.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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