Stories Tagged as
Yield curve
Japan loosens its grip on long-term interest rates
by
Justin Ho
Oct 31, 2023
The Bank of Japan’s "yield curve control policy" could be on its way out as central banks around the world raise rates to beat inflation.
An inverted yield curve usually signals recession. Is it wrong this time?
by
Matt Levin
Sep 7, 2023
For well over a year, the interest paid by long-term Treasury bonds has been lower than that of shorter-term debt. But a recession hasn't happened yet.
The bond market yield curve is inverted — which some economists think foreshadows a downturn
Mar 2, 2023
The yield for a two-year note is roughly a whole percentage point higher than the yield on the 10-year Treasury right now. And that often precedes a recession.
Recession fears may be receding
Nov 7, 2019
Some recent economic indicators suggest the risk of a recession in the U.S. over the next 12 to 18 months is diminishing.
A guided tour of the yield curve
by
Justin Ho
Aug 15, 2019
The federal government sells more than a dozen different kinds of bonds. They all have very different purposes.
Why this yield curve inversion could be different
by
Justin Ho
Aug 14, 2019
This time around, it may not be telling us that a recession's on the way.
When the yield curve inverts, how nervous should we be?
May 29, 2019
Historically, an inverted yield curve has spelled recession.
For public good, not for profit.
Is the yield curve talking to us?
by
Jed Kim
Jun 28, 2018
A lot of attention is being paid right now to what’s known as the yield curve. And if you don’t know what that is, it’s essentially the difference between interest rates on short-term and long-term government bonds. In a growing economy, you typically see higher rates on the 10-year Treasury note than you do on […]
The Fed talks interest rates with an eye toward the yield curve
by
Amy Scott
Jun 12, 2018
The Federal Open Market Committee begins its two-day meeting today to talk interest rates. The Fed is expected to raise its target rate by a quarter of a point for the second time this year. And with unemployment reaching a new low last month and inflation creeping up, analysts expect officials to keep raising rates […]
What is the bond market trying to tell us about the economy?
Jun 30, 2017
Many investors focus on the stock market. But the bond market’s been doing some interesting things lately, things that are getting investors’ and economists’ attention. Since the beginning of this year, there’s been a decided flattening of the yield curve on Treasuries — the difference between the interest rates on short-term bonds and those that […]